CPI: Core Finishes 2016 At Fastest Pace in 3 Years
January 18, 2017
Bottom Line: Consumer prices finished 2016 2.1% higher for the year. This compares with just 0.7% in 2015 and 2014. Meanwhile, core consumer prices rose moderately and are 2.2% above their year ago level, a slightly faster pace than 2015's 2.1% rate and 2014's 1.6%. Overall inflationary pressures at the consumer level still remain modest but are rising now compared to year-ago levels. That said, the pace of core inflation over the last 3- and 6-months has been steady around 2-2.2%.
The CPI ROSE by 0.3% in December, compared with market expectations for an increase of 0.3%.
- Food prices declined while energy prices rose by 1.5%. Prices for gasoline rose by 3.0% while prices for fuel oil increased by 4.0%, prices for electricity climbed by 0.0%, but prices for natural gas fell by 0.4%.
- Energy prices are now 5.4% ABOVE their year ago level.
- Overall consumer prices are now 2.1% ABOVE their year ago level; in December 2015, consumer prices were 0.7% ABOVE their year ago level.
The Core CPIROSE by 0.2%, compared with market expectations for an increase of 0.2%.
- Prices for commodities excluding food and energy commodities rose by 0.01%.
- Gains in used cars & trucks (+0.5%), tobacco (+0.4%), were offset by declines in apparel (-0.7%).
- Prices for services excluding energy services rose 0.3% with moderate increase in transportation (+0.6%), shelter (+0.3%), and owner's equivalent rent (+0.3%).
- Core consumer prices are now 2.2% ABOVE their year ago level; in December 2015, consumer prices were 2.1% ABOVE their year ago level.
Article by Contingent Macro Advisors