Consumer Confidence: Still Near Highs, But Expectations Component Lost Momentum
June 26, 2018
Bottom Line: While the level of consumer confidence in May remained near 18-year highs in June, consumers are seeing less potential future momentum in economic growth. The expectations component of the survey has been sideways to only slightly higher for a year now. The overall index, at 126.4, is now below its three month average of 126.9. Additionally, details were mixed as 6-month outlooks for business fell modestly, outlooks for income fell modestly but employment rose modestly.
Consumer Confidence FELL by 2.4 points in June to 126.4, compared with market expectations for a decline to 128.0. The index is now 7.8% ABOVE its year ago level.
Present Situation Index FELL by 0.1 points to 161.1. The index is 12.0% ABOVE its year ago level.
The Expectations Index FELL by 4.0 points to 103.2. The index is 3.6% ABOVE its year ago level.
The labor differential, the percentage of respondents who said jobs are “hard to get†from the percentage who said jobs are “plentiful†, moved lower by 1.4 points to 25.1.
Article by
Contingent Macro Advisors