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Consumer Confidence: Sliding Into Holidays

November 29, 2022
Bottom Line:  The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index fell again in November, hitting a four-month low and suggesting consumers were less optimistic heading into the holiday shopping season. Consumers' confidence in their current situations declined modestly, while the Expectations Index, based on consumers’ short-term outlook for income, business, and labor market conditions, remained near historic lows. Renewed concerns about inflation were top of mind for most consumers surveyed, and it appears those concerns could impact consumers' holiday shopping plans. Overall, U.S. consumers remain resilient with fortified balance sheets and continued solid labor market conditions, but their willingness to spend on non-essential items remains lower as they adjust to stubborn inflation and continued interest rate increases.
Consumer Confidence
FELL by 2.0 points in November to 100.2, compared with market expectations for a decline to 100.0.   The index is now 10.5% BELOW its year-ago level.
Present Situation Index
FELL by 1.3 points to 137.4. The index is 4.8% BELOW its year-ago level.
The Expectations Index
FELL by 2.5 points to 75.4.  The index is 16.4% BELOW its year-ago level.
The labor differential,
the percentage of respondents who said jobs are “plentiful” from the percentage who said jobs are “hard to get” , moved higher by 1.0 points to 32.8.
Article by Contingent Macro