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Mortgage Apps: Rates Move Higher Still

September 14, 2022
Bottom Line:  Mortgage rates continued their ascent, averaging 6.23% last week with the secondary market even higher through Tuesday of this week. As Treasury yields moved higher mortgage spreads widened, further exacerbating the move in mortgage yields. The refi index hit another new low as purchase volumes were nearly unchanged last week.  Overall, the trend in mortgage applications suggests that the slowdown in housing continued into September. Refis are all but dead for now, and it appears that purchase application volume will fall towards levels seen in 2015, possibly hitting record lows later this year.
The MBA Mortgage Application Index
FELL slightly, DOWN -1.2% to 255.0, BELOW the 13-week average of 283.0, and -64.0% BELOW the year-ago level. Non-seasonally adjusted the index FELL -12.4%.
The Purchase Index was nearly unchanged, UP 0.2% to 198.0, BELOW the 13-week average of 213.0 and -28.7% BELOW the year-ago level.
The Refinancing Index FELL -4.2% to 533.0, BELOW the 13-week average of 636.0 and -83.3% BELOW the year-ago level.
The effective (adjusted for points paid) 30-year mortgage rate ROSE 6bps to 6.23%, ABOVE the 13-week average of 5.94% and 100bps ABOVE the year-ago level.
Current coupon yields in the secondary market were up 13.0 bps last week, closing at 4.81%, and were up 19.0 bps this week through Tuesday.
Article by Contingent Macro