Let PCBB help your institution by stress testing your loan portfolios and evaluating the resulting impact on both earnings and capital.

The next great boom in refinancing will likely be in CDs and other deposits, which are vulnerable to customers who decide to pay penalties and reinvest at higher interest rates. A rising-rate environment is also a potentially fruitful hunting ground for fintechs and neobanks, which already offer higher rates than traditional institutions. We discuss three strategies to help CFIs hold their best customers and stress test for CD and deposit losses.

The Federal Reserve just concluded its annual capital adequacy annual stress test with 33 participating banks. While regulators don’t require CFIs to run stress tests to assess their capital adequacy, the federal banking supervisory agencies indicate that they should have the capacity to analyze the potential impact of adverse outcomes, and particularly encourage this for CFIs with CRE portfolios. We provide four steps to help form the foundation of an effective capital planning process.

The Federal Reserve has released its 2024 stress testing scenarios: its primary tool to assess the largest banks’ fiscal health resiliency by estimating losses, net revenue, and capital levels under hypothetical recession scenarios. This year’s severely adverse scenario includes unemployment reaching 10%, a widening spread on corporate bonds, and dramatic declines in asset prices. We summarize the scenarios and determine how they can help CFIs devise their own tests to improve their capital planning and risk management.

Economists are predicting a downturn in consumer spending this year along with a slowing economy. We discuss strategies CFIs can use to prepare themselves and their small business customers for the impact.

Managing further economic downturns, liquidity, and cybersecurity are just a few of the many concerns at the forefront of bank leaders’ minds, according to Bank Director’s 2023 Risk Survey. We summarize some of the key findings and suggest ways for CFIs to mitigate the challenges.

Many CFIs approach stress testing from one perspective. Stress testing from multiple standpoints, however, can help organizations assess new drivers and changes in the macroeconomic environment. But more frequent stress tests can also bring challenges. We discuss how to manage the challenges and reap the benefits.

Between inflation and higher interest rates, businesses need to charge more for goods and services, while also worrying that they’ll lose price-sensitive customers. As a result, CFIs are likely to see increased credit stress soon. We discuss six strategies CFIs can use to manage credit risk challenges in a volatile environment.

Economists predict that global stagflation could hit before the end of 2022. Now is the time for CFIs to determine what risks stagflation could create for their organizations and identify steps to minimize any negative impact. We offer three actions to consider as the potential of stagflation looms large.