BID® Daily Newsletter
Sep 25, 2006

BID® Daily Newsletter

Sep 25, 2006

Strategic Meeting - Finding The Easy Button


Finding out what issues companies will face can be as easy as getting a bunch of CEOs in a room and asking questions. Since it is strategic planning season, we have been asking those very questions, reading up on surveys and monitoring the issues independent banks say they are already facing (that appear ready to grow in 2007). As we have reported on, the "Big 3" issues for 2007 are funding, credit quality and workforce recruiting. After that, there is a long host of important issues still in the forefront, some of which are presented here. Healthcare: Long espoused as an issue, no one will probably be shocked to learn that it remains in issue for 2007. We find about 70% of CEOs expect healthcare costs to increase next year. To combat this, 74% indicate they will increase employee deductibles, 72% will increase employee premiums and the same amount expects to set up health savings accounts. Interestingly, over half (54%) of companies expect to change health care providers entirely. Technology: Banks and technology have become practically synonymous over the years, as many have tried to leverage IT in an effort to increase profitability. While IT can run the gamut, bankers considering launching projects should read this section closely. On average, the information suggests CEOs expect to spend more on technology projects, with a full 20% saying they anticipate spending at least 10% more than they did this year. Amazingly, while spending continues, almost 30% of CEOs say technology investment returns fall short of their expectations. It is clear from the data that project returns must be measurable if they are to be successful. Acquisitions: The information suggests that while close to 66% of bankers feel their growth will come organically, 28% expect it will take both M&A and internal growth to achieve goals and objectives (6% said they expected most of their growth to come from M&A alone). Cost management: Overall, most bankers will be using a 3% inflation rate and seem to be building in between a 5% and 10% cost increase for the upcoming year. Profitability: To cover rising costs and keep shareholders happy, most bankers we talked to plan on about 15% growth in earning assets, while generally trying to hold the line on funding costs. On this front, with 3 more rate hikes are still working their way through (from the last FOMC rate increases), bankers should probably expect funding costs to rise by another 6% to 14% from current levels before tapering off. Regulation: A full 92% of bankers say they expect regulation will continue to be a heavy burden in 2007, particularly as the new CRE regulations likely come on-line. Retention: Finally, of we are to talk of budgets, perhaps nothing is more important than employee retention. After all, who is going to execute on these lofty game plans if not the employees. Perhaps that is why the information shows nearly 90% of independent banks say retaining employees is critical and that 57% expect to increase employee education and retention programs in the coming year. There are many factors to consider when pondering strategic direction, but some of the ones outlined above may help bankers find the proverbial "easy button."
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